So why is omniscient government unattractive?
Suppose, completely hypothetically speaking, in 2018, when the US declared trade war with China ostensibly sacrafices it’s agriculture exports while demanding better fair trade with China in tech, that it did so because secretly it knew, from it’s weather forecast or from secret police monitoring of farm lands, have discovered that American farmers will under produce this year and isn’t years to come. Do you think that’s a brilliant move? You do huh?
Now, let’s think of their omniscience reading your email. I’ve been blasted with news about IRS monitoring private emails to find out tax cheaters who erroneously pays IRS less than they should. One wonders, not knowing the reality, whether the IRS ever gives money back due to discoveries of errors the other way as they read our emails?
In the case of contest between nations, one proudly declares national interest as the ultimate. However the same technologies are applied to constituents, it seems unfair to citizens. How can it be? (And this is merely a mathematical possibility in a hypothetical situation) suppose farmers are subsidized by the number of acres they farm a protected crop, say some kinds of beans. For every acre-month they put towards farming the beans they get $1 to farm beans instead of something else… say day trading stocks by light of sun and hosting raves on their vast lands by the shadows of moonlight. Suddenly, there was an unusual pattern of climate change that caused the production of beans to fall from 10 beans per acre-month to 1 bean per acre month. Now, the government detects this change, and can see that the crops are not yielding well from secret police satellite pictures of farms. So, the deep-government estimates the fall of production and is able to preemptively provoke global farming tariffs. Doing so causes the price of farm produce to increase worldwide. Because the price domestic farmer can is sell their goods at is higher, the incentives to stay farmers can now be lowered to something less than the $1 needed to attract them from other activities.
So, the government gets paid tariff by foreign sellers, and then has to pay farmers less to stay farmers… seems like a net gain for the federal government. Who’s pay went into making this happen? It’ll have to be any consumer of farmed goods.
If the government did not respond to the knowledge of a decrease in production, foreign farm produce would have made up for the loss of American production (no price change in corn and apple and orange juice) but American government will have to pay more incentive to farmers to stay farmers because although they could not supply the demand, the lack of domestic supply does not affect domestic demand or price of farm produces. So farming businesses basically has a real bad year, and government subsidies has to pay for that.
What prevents this complicated hypothetical event from happening? Would it be unjust or unfair? Would it be wrong? IDK, and perhaps I have no better solution, but it is nice to understand the mechanics of these money matter.
Also, the Trump administration is down playing effect of climate change… One wonders if this is a national security matter in which the environment is so severely damaged that crops yields have become intolerably low. Perhaps this tariff to cause retaliatory tariff did just what they wanted: it hides the drop in crop production in USA to all foreign observers who don’t have secret police satellites. And certainly it hides it from the general public who have no access to our governments omniscience. Perhaps the end is near? Is there a point in discussing fairness and equality and rights and the American way if our planet is already gone and we face extinction?
This horid nightmarish lucid imagining is kind of inspired by my backyard crops of fruit and vegetables: they are doing horrendously this year–despite daily watering and generous fertilization, they yield almost nothing. And of course, there is a real trade war between US and the rest of the world… And subsequent declaration of new subsidies to combat the loss of farming income.